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You have two-pair, aces and tens, with the queen kicker. but there is a possible straight and a possible flush that your opponent could have, although those don't seem too likely. if he has a ten in the hole, he now has trip tens! he could also have a full house, four-of-a-kind, or even a straight flush. you don't really have a good read on his hand. you know he is a fairly tight player; he's been calling all the way, so he must have something. perhaps he has a small or medium pocket pair. like many hold'em players, he might have called the flop with ace-rag -- so the flop would have given him a pair of aces with a poor kicker. could be that he flopped second pair, and was concerned about the ace out there on the board, as well he should. he could have two pair, tens and eights; but he is a tight player and would not have called the flop with a 10-8. it's not likely that he flopped a set of eights; certainly he would have raised you on the turn with that hand. maybe he made a diamond flush; but that's not likely since he called on the flop with only one diamond on the board. indeed, it's more likely he would have folded on the flop with only one diamond on the board. you ponder the situation. you ask yourself: should i bet or check? by all means, just check. here's why: he probably has you figured for a pair of aces because you have been betting out every round since the flop. consider the most likely hands he might be holding. it is possible that the river gave him trip tens, making your hand second-best. in that case, he may raise you if you bet. it will cost you two big bets and you'll lose! in short, it is not likely he would call your bet on the river unless he has a better hand than yours; and if he does, he will probably raise you. whenever there is just as good a chance that his hand has yours beaten, you have more to lose than to gain by betting into your opponent. at best you will gain one more big bet if he calls and your aces hold up. at worst, it will cost you two big bets if he raises and beats you with his trips. so, readers, what's your opinion? george "the engineer" epstein is the author of the greatest book of play poker for for winners! and hold'em or fold'em? an algorithm for making the key decision t c press, po box 36006, los angeles, ca 90036 ; he teaches poker courses and the poker lab at the claude pepper sr. citizen center under the auspices of the city of los angeles dept. of recreation and parks. george can be reached by e-mail: geps222 msn and play poker for fun. 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They've also had similar challenges in dealing with the tidal wave of electronic gaming that has occurred over the past 10 to 15 years. you take the statistics from gene christiansen's gross annual wager over the past dozen years, electronic gaming devices of one type or another, slots or vlts have gone from billion in win to billion in win, and that's affected us all. racings market shares, i'm sure you've all heard many times, has declined from about 10 percent to about five percent of the total gaming market. well, table games have basically held steady; while the shares have gone down, market share has basically been plateauing at around 12 or 13 percent. in some jurisdictions table games have actually gone down over the past decade; in the smaller markets smaller casinos really have a difficult time of attracting big players to table games. in iowa, for example, over the past eight years from their first really full year of casinos across the state, '97 to fiscal '04, total table win went down from million to million. and in illinois it was even worse, they went from down almost a third over the past decade. but there's good news too. i'm sure all of you know there's been a play poker for boom lately, and not only has that done well for poker tables but that seems to be spilling over to other types of tables games as well. in nevada and atlantic city tables have actually grown faster than slots for the past two years in a row. even in iowa last year, leaving aside the introduction of table games at prairie meadows, at the casinos' table games the total went up by a million dollars last year. nationwide, table games are about a billion business. that compares with racing in total, all its forms is about a billion revenue business. so table games are a good business, at least allianced with racing there will always be a place for bricks and mortar for bringing people together live and in person for gaming entertainment. there's another feature of racing and gaming that they share as a comparison with slots in particular that's a much greater diversity of performance. that's due to a number of reasons; the different games allowed in different jurisdictions, different rules and regulations, and markets seem to differ more for tables than for slots. for my analysis i'd like to look at spending for adults in a marketplace; and when you look at slot markets, you almost always see something in the range of -- you look at a facility, the average spending for adults and its median expenditure is somewhere between five and 0 per person; the average adult spend between 0 and 0 on slot machines if you've got a nice facility there.
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